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The Foundation: Understanding the Terminology

At the heart of this strategy is identifying “oversold” conditions across various timeframes using our proprietary Wave Master indicator. Here’s the foundational structure:

  1. Weekly Signal (+):
    When the weekly wave is oversold, a + is added, indicating increased conviction for potential upward movement.
  2. Conviction Levels (1 and 2):
    • 1 (Wave Master 9-Day Hold): Indicates that shorter timeframes (1-hour, 3-hour, and 1-day) are oversold. This suggests a shorter-term opportunity with potentially less downside risk.
    • 2 (Wave Master 45-Day Hold): Indicates that longer timeframes (1-day, 3-day, and 5-day) are oversold. This aligns with a longer-term opportunity, but there may still be room for further downside.
  3. Strength/Level:
    Strength, also referred to as “level,” signifies the number of waves showing oversold conditions. A higher level means more timeframes are aligned, increasing confidence in the signal. For example, a level of 6 means six waves are oversold.

How to Read the Signals

  • 1+:
    Combines the weekly oversold signal (+) with a shorter-term entry (1). This setup offers both a longer-term vision and a shorter-term entry point, often reducing downside risk.
  • 2+:
    Combines the weekly oversold signal (+) with a longer-term entry (2). While this aligns with a longer-term vision, the potential downside may be greater due to higher timeframe influences.

Putting It Together

When scanning for opportunities, investors manually evaluate the combinations of these signals and their levels. The general consensus is:

  • 1+ is stronger than 2+:
    A 1+ provides a better balance of short-term entry and long-term vision, reducing immediate downside risk.
  • High strength/level amplifies the signal:
    A signal with a high level (e.g., 7) indicates alignment across multiple timeframes, increasing confidence in the decision.

Conversation Insights

Key Question

“What about 1+ makes it stronger?”

Explanation

  • The 1+ combines a short-term buy signal (1) with the long-term oversold weekly indicator (+), offering an entry with less downside potential.
  • Conversely, 2+ aligns with longer-term signals, where further downside is more likely before recovery.

“The + gives you the longer-term vision, and a 1+ adds a short-term entry. A 2+ is longer-term entry, so it could be subject to additional volatility.”

Practical Application

Here’s how you can use this framework:

  1. Scan for Oversold Indicators:
    Identify whether shorter or longer timeframes are oversold. Use stochastic levels to assess strength.
  2. Prioritize + Signals:
    Weekly oversold conditions (+) provide a foundational advantage, signaling long-term recovery potential.
  3. Focus on Strength Levels:
    High strength (e.g., level 7) shows strong alignment across multiple timeframes, adding conviction to your decision.
  4. Understand Your Hold Period:
    • For shorter-term holds, focus on 1+ signals.
    • For longer-term holds, evaluate 2+ signals while accounting for potential downside.

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